Thursday, May 4, 2017

Losing Holden ASAP-Kareoke ABC Poker

The possibility of sudden significant change in your game.

The Secret is about the law of attraction and results—the secret of poker is the complete opposite!

The way to get better is to think about process not results—focus on better decision making and ignoring short term results. This is extremely hard to do because neurons that wire together fire together--- that's the sex of poker ---Having fun. In fact, it's not about winning or losing any one hand, but excelling and having an "experience"
There's a wonderful phrase in Gladwell's Blink--"the power of thin slicing"--which says that as human beings we are capable of making sense of situations based on the thinnest slice of experience. That's what I mean about the difference between having fun and "having an experience"---pure house games like black jack and slots, verses poker. NLH is not just a "sport", it's a concussion. The difference between lightning and a lightning bug.


Hello, My Name is--"I'm All In"-when bad things happen to good decisions.

Bad playing (Making the right mistake) can get "rewarded" 100% of the time on ANY one hand.This kind of poker---PUSH and PRAY-- is not a user friendly game, rather a user illusionaryone because : "Lucky" players will always have worse cards then you, and will draw out, even if there is one card in the deck they need, and they may very well get it.
Getting your money in good, only to get sucked out is a fact of NLH. Chips are overhead, bad beats the cost of doing business against random reDONKulous decisions.
For these types of absolute novice, everything is even money. The idea is to defeat that concept, making, for instance, balanced decisions---correlating the size of the pot to the strength of your hand.
Nevertheless, when you treat No Limit Holdem as a game of chance instead of skill, it is not a law of probability, it's a fact for games with the "F" fun factor-- you may have great expectations , but you will get negative ones. Risk of ruin is 100%! That's the difference between gambling and betting.

Losing holdem ASAP is about that default lottery- Ka-ching- DONKey mentality of wish fulfillment.It is a portable magic---you rent but never own. Take it to your game and you will leave through the revolving door of poker on the old gambling world of luck's PUSH, verses the New wor(l)d order of NLH's PULL. It's rolling the DICE verses Inviting CHOICE.


Teach Yourself Poker in 10 Years ---Why is everybody in such a rush!


Learn to play poker like the Pros….and go broke. If you play like Gus (Hansen), you will..TVEPP TV Educated Poker Players-see:The MoneyMaker Effect.


It's closing time for the karaoke crowd, the old dogs of kitsch. Who actually cares that you can belt out,after three martini's , the loudest My Way: AK all in pre flop is still drawing hand! --It's still the S.O.S. Same ole ___ bland copies of the original AKA Doyle's by/buy-the-book, Super System; or Sklansky's Theory Of Poker --Don’t bring math to the game, bring strategy.




NLH is too random to be left up to chance. NLH is senseless, common sense and it’s not so common. It’s crazy delicious! The fixed is replaced by an obsession with the here and now, The Power Of New. It's less about how do I play 3 3 in early position and more about how should I think about it. There is no there there! in the distilled experience of the veterans.



Old wine in a new bottle is when you play ABC "I bought the book" holdem. "Money runs counterclockwise...You always lose money from the guy on your left and win chips from the guy on your right" or " Seat 9 only value bets here and only bluffs there."



The quest is not in these Either/or questions:---Am I gonna win this hand or lose it? Is my hand better or worse than my opponents single hand? Will I play it as a stealing hand or a hitting hand? Either/OR even in terms of thinking Pre/Post flop. .This duality of up and down, playing optimally verses exploitively -- There is no right and wrong, good and bad. odds and even. Zero Sum Minus Some, is too pedestrian, too run-of-the-mill. It's more than mixing it up and shifting gears---the mess is the message.

You can't predict the flop, but you can invent it--Plan around commitment.



It’s hard to think probability. Info is Lost In Translation when we simplify yet the simpliest concepts in NLH are the most powerful. There are no best starting hands, only situations. Things should be made as simple as possible, but not any simpler. Think of it as a continuum, "AND". An infinite number of third options. This concept needs to be in your game.



Doing two things at the same time that apparently negate each other. NLH is 100% skill and 100% luck. The language of "and" is the language of NLH. The language of "and" is the language of passive and active, optimystical and materialistic, hard and soft. There’s a yang for every yin. It’s Fuzzy logic, and everything is a matter of degree and the player is fuzzy wuzzy to the nth degree. Get a clear, sharp view of the fuzzy.



E= MC2 Equity= More Chips Squared.


Equity—think in terms of what is my hypothetical share in this pot, not just “Am I ahead or behind”.


Commitment- Plan around it. Where is your equity coming from: Making the best hand by hitting or stealing it post flop.—to win the pot, but every hand has the potential for both. Most battles are won before they are fought. Consider the range of hands as well as the playah's temperament.


NLH revolves around the threat of an all in bet. It should be considered around ever decision. This may come at you. Play differently in big pots...Isolate hands that have a high showdown value, and overlimp in hands that have a positive and implied odds to invite more people into the pot. If practice makes perfect, and nobody's perfect, then why practice? There is absolutely no substitute in NLH than for a genuine lack of preparation.


A NLH session is one long conversation run by C students, and Cash is their report card. NLH is like high school with money. This is a world beyond the classroom besides getting the correct answer. The important thing, nevertheless, is not to be in the know, but to be in the Power of NEW . The glass ain’t half empty, it ain’t half full, the glass is not big enough.


What everyone knows about poker is not worth knowing. Challenge the Myths of One-Liner NLH Formulas-Think long think wrong. Dump it or pump it. Suited and booted. Tight is right. All in to Win. No set, no bet. Go big or go home. Raise more than call and fold more than raise.

I wrote The Power Of Paradoxical Thinking in High Stakes Poker This draws water from that wellspring-- Procrastinate now! Infinite patience does brings immediate results to your game. When was the last time you said "I think I'll go to the casino and fold 80% of my hands!"

In Poker the future is already here. It’s just not yet evenly distributed yet. You see, Poker is really a game of mistakes. The rules of Americon Poker are designed to achieve an important balance: an unskilled player(usually the guy with the three c’s condo, cash and cars) must be able to win just enough hands to keep him at the table losing his money. The Americon just look for opportunities, not guarantees. He is ready to make the right mistakes.

Come sideways at an issue instead of head on -It's Not the Big that Eat the Small...It's the Fast that Eat the Slow . Slowplaying fast...

Don’t ca-cheng unless you ca-ch’i--Physical energy capacity is measured in terms of quantity---low to high; and emotional capacity in quality ---negative to positive.. It’s energy, not time, that's your street cred, your table image.


Managing energy, not time, is the fundamental currency of NLH. You can be motivated to play holdem that's good. You can be inspired to play holdem, that's great. Good, however, is the enemy of great.


Remember what Michael said in Godfather 1, "Keep your friends close and your enemies closer"---Stay motivated, but recognize those moments of inspiration.


Everyone is a genius, it’s just that some of us are too stupid to realize it. It is easy to get de-geniused rapidly with a attitude of " I just want to have fun". Walking into a game because you "feel" lucky is like walking into a sports bar because you "feel" athletic.


Denial just ain’t a river in Vegas. If you want to plug some of the leaks in your game, as Einstein said, "You can't alter a condition with the same mind set that created it in the first place" ---The power of NEW is the power of thinking without thinking, and knowing without knowing.



You don't get a second chance to make a first impression--Logic should yield to instinct. Rebuys are just rearranging the deck chairs of the titanic. The iceberg image, unless you realize something else is keeping the guy afloat who just took all your money , you are destined to become a human hangover, obscene and heard scareaming "I'm king of the world! The Emperor's new t-shirt says" But they were suited"...Check please.



Wednesday, May 3, 2017

Poker With Out Cards—Bluff Outs




The universal tell in poker is called betting!

No limit holdem is a game of ins and outs, need and speed, aggravation and acceleration.
Counting your outs, the number of cards that will make you a complete hand is something to reconsider, thanks to what I call, the Bluff Outs:additional scare cards that, if they hit, you bet out, and, force your opponent to fold; mentally dealing them the hand .Bluff Outs Poker is about playing 'in the dark': betting that your opponents DON'T have the cards rather than that they do.

Preflop, a pocket pair only has 2 outs to improve, overcards have 6 to draw to the nuts.This is not even taking into account straight and flush draws! That means over cards are at least a 3:1 favorite to improve and win the hand. And with bluff outs, even if you miss, you can bet it like you have it.

It requires a shift in thinking---Instead of "I hope he doesn't bet" or " Come on--- pair the board" or "Club, Club Club" ...that's wasted energy...Say to yourself, "If a club comes on the river, I am betting out like I have it, enough to take your opponent off their hand of top pair, even trips! or " If I hit my set, I am betting the pot". or If I miss with AK, I am making a big cointinuation bet, no matter what"....I've done it. It works.

Betting verses Gambling



Full Catastrophe Poker is not a game of cards played with money—It is a game of money played with cards. It speaks a language called betting, is a slang that rolls up its sleeves, spits in the street, screams strength possibly more than any other and gets the work done. Tells Don’t Tell – People Do with the language of their betting. Poker is a game of partial information and the language of betting "last in" is information dominance.

Bluffing is a big part of NLH since most players miss the flop 33% of the time.IN NLH there are 4 opportunities to bluff, 1 pre and 3 post flop. LOOSE players are looking for reasons to CALL; TIGHT, to FOLD.

You aren't a bad poker player if you get caught bluffing sometimes or most of the time. You only have to win a fraction of the time to net a profit. Sklansky's (game)Theory of poker points out that you cannot play optimally unless you include bluffing into your game.

Every bet or raise can be a bluff, and you can beat a bluff with a mediocre hand. The only way to compensate for the bluffs of your opponents is to bluff them back!

You don' t get what you deserve in poker, you get what you negotiate--Bluffing is the quintessential Negotiator. If you are going to be a winning player, you have to include bluffing in your game.
The more your bluffs matters, the harder they are to pull off because they are, after all, bluffs. It is, however, impossible to defend against a solid bluffing strategy. Reality is perception, and appearance reality.

Tells can give you a competitive advatage. HINTS or suggestions are better ways to describe the leaks in opponents (and your) game.-The universal hint in poker is called betting—jamming the pot when you have the best of it, and punishing opponents for their draws.Betting is the language of poker; the more money behind your bet, the louder your voice! This kind of game is The safe sex of poker-without the deceit, the seduction, the bluffing-is like wearing a condom. And you know how that feels.

The sex of poker is bluffing, getting something for nothing-Poker is, after all, anything you can get away with. In the real world, If your wife is cheating on you---you don't want to believe it.(Truth bias). So she bluffs you and gets away with it but then...one day her own Fear of being caught---detection apprehension---will be the non verbal (TELL) communication that speaks to your subconscious and allows you to divorce her! That is, if your left brain gets good at telling your right brain what to do.

Misleading Vividness-Learn The Lines
Bluffing is giving yourself permission to win, even if you do not have the best of it. When you show up to a game, you have to be script driven, and the lines are simple--I am going to win, NOT I should win , NOT I deserve to win. If you can pull off a feeling of acceptance, not even belief, you will have a reasonable amount of success in your bluffs. Be misleading not confusing in your bluffs.

Use position, psychology and bluffing to tip the scales. One thing for sure-POSITION makes every bluff easier. What is your RRR, your risk reward ratio? What are the CP's, calling patterns of your opponents? What are their BP's, betting patterns? The bluffing quest is in these questions.

You don't get a second chance to make a first impression on any given hand. Commit to a hand, and the prosperous termination of desired events--scooping up the pot. Bluffing really means I am against something but appear to be for it. Creating a false impression, disguising the "truth" is easier said than done. Overcompensating in either direction usually occurs---that's a bad bluff. Manipulating how confident you appear, a person who is bluffing will almost always overcompensate 100%, to convince or convey.

In one yEAR and out the other...May 28, 2008:

Poker Doesn’t Think, and the cards have no memory.

Once upon a starting hand: When all you have is the hammer, everything is a nail.

The implicit value of 7 deuce-Leading uphill against conventional wisdom.

Under the right circumstances you can play ANY Two Cards---ATC, and expect a positive return, either immediately or down the road.

From Worst To First-The best hole cards you've never played

The book value and herd mentality of 72 offsuit in holdem is squadush. It is the worst hand in NLH.-Yet the Hammer can go from zero to hero. It makes a great raising hand in position. Play them like aces--When everyone misses on the flop, throw in a continuation bet, and you take down the pot. Money certainly has been won from players' mis-reading of the situation, and the 7 deuce first in money guy working magic-or mis-direction-- creating the illusion appearing as real--Now that's playing with no cards.

Starting hands can be created or dissolved with the change in its implicit value, which is determined by the personal perceptions and whim of players and their cards

Playing 72 like aces. Should I? In the case of automatic enrollment, the default decision may be too powerful to ever let 7 2 go. You have tried this a few times and got away with it, scooping a $300 pot in a low NLH game. It could start out, first as a bluff, the 72 trash hand, then catching a full house with it. Sometimes you'll get caught.
Winning like this doesn't make you a good player; neither does losing like this make you a bad one---it just is the cost of doing (monkey) business, and making moves at pots.
Being There-The Greatest Movie You Have Never Seen Peter Sellers' Masterpiece---A How To Own The Zone Poker Play Book
Those who forget the past are doomed to reread it. Remember this one--President Kennedy's secretary was named Lincoln and President Lincoln's secretary was named Kennedy. Coincidence? How about this one: you need 23 people in one room for there to be a 50% chance of two people having the same birthday. Probability?

The concept I'd like to deal with, then, is the concept of "framing" -- that the way we are presented information determines our reaction to that information. You can have your delusions of reference, but when it comes down to it, poker doesn't think and the cards have no memory. Yet, if you choose to frame it as meaningful coincidence or good luck-What you believe is real, will be real to you in its consequences--the magic of magical thinking

Magical thinking is real--I like to call it beginner's luck---because you just don't know any better. You don't understand possible causes because of your low information diet. TMI, Too Much Information can damage your game. That's why you can bluff good players---they've been there, done that. They have the in-the-trenches- experience and the war stories and bad beats. Check out Brad Booth on High Stakes Poker to see what I mean-an amazing three brick, 300K bluff against Phil Ivey, whose holding pocket Kings, and lays them down.
...all is well - and all will be well - in the garden

Beginner's Luck doesn't so much as remove the heavy lifting of real thinking. It just keeps you lean and trim on this low info diet, where the "how " of your happiness takes on new meaning. In RL (Real Life) WSOP Champ, with The Power Of NeW, Huck Seed has this vibe. No need for filters--You can only recognize what you already know.
It has a way of creating your NOT To Do List. The on demand vibe is about simplicity, and that's scarce, a To Be list. Forest Gump, and Being There's Chauncey Gardiner come to mind. The Bermuda Triangle For Socks-The Dryer-the mythology

When I do my laundry, I mix it all together—that’s called pink laundry. It all doesn’t come out in the wash. More than that, I don't know where my socks sometimes go after I (Think) I put them in the dryer. Did they really disappear? You see that’s the illusion---they never make it to the machine in the first place! When I was a kid, I worked at a resturant, we had a far more important mystery---the missing teaspoon phenomonon.
Missing chips and missing socks---the way we do laundry is the way we do chips. The somewhat "unreal" characteristic of money and poker, leave you with that missing sock conspiracy theory thing, since the most straightforward way of telling you where your money went is that it actually disappeared into thin air; and chips just go to money heaven.
The brain seems to have networks wired to produce magical explanation in almost every cirucmstance. The point at which my child brain withdrew support for belief in Santa and the Easter Bunny is about the same time it got introduced to prayer---and believe me there is a lot more praying going on in casinos and holdem games than churches!

It goes on to this day--what New Yorker didn't think they were responsible for the outcome of last year's Giant's Superbowl victory! In part it’s because we are constantly exposed to our own thoughts-"I want the Giants to win, I want the Giants to win..." Hay, WTF--It worked!

Tuesday, May 2, 2017


The Dopamine Power Diet—In Search of the “All-In” Button

"I' ll take things that I know for $1,000 Alex!
NLH has the short-term effect of windfalls of buckets of luck. That generates a roller coaster ride of greed, invincibility and fantasy ---a flood of dopamine that signals to our bodies that something good has happened. It’s not the win, but the suggestion of it that generates pleasure in the brain, rewards anticipation. Now, for the first time, you can actually get inside the black box, when your game crashes with Neuroeconomics--making "emotional" decisions and their economic sigificance. Brain scientists , who with Hotel Anyware's help, will be the writing the new Super System and (behavioral)Theory of Poker.

Chapter One Teaser: AN I for an I , 'See it with your mind's eye.' is so pre Twin Towers 9/11. Reif shows us that our mind is our eye.What we think is what we see, and what we see directs how we act. Not only does the authors make this paradigm clear, but Ed offers concrete and practical ways to change our mind's eye and as a consequence change our actions and the results we get. A miracle is a shift in thinking and shifting our thinking opens new opportunities. the gift of connecting to the field of awareness that exists within each playah. When your LEFT Brain gets good at telling the RIGHT brain what to do--the power of now+new,1+1=infinity...because after all, Poker is situational, and a game of partial information, too random to be left up to chance. The conceit of our Joes— is to see Order in chaos. The anticipation of consequences by Pros, is to pounce on this weakness.

Shift Happens

When your third eye and your turd eye are at one—you start to believe your own sh*
t, hooked on the belief that you are about to make mo’ money. This creates a midbrain mutiny between dopamine and serotonin. Like any addict, when the bad beat comes, you will go into a painful withdrawal. I think therefore I am—might need a re-write- I don’t know so maybe I’m not. It’s all chemical!

Thinking and feeling differently about lose-Whatever is going on in you is chemical. What could your neurons "want"? It's enigmatic, but basically they wants a jolt of serotonin, norepinephrine (adrenaline) and dopamine. If you can remember--you are never know how you have been, and maintain a malignent optimism, you can live to play another day. The hard thing about this is that it is so easy to do, because feelings are not true, they're feelings...nothing more than feelings.
Poker= f(dopamine flow); Money= happiness

"Money can't buy happiness, but it can buy chips, which is kinda the same thing" Ed Reif, Wise and Otherwise,2007

Money is a means to an end. When you get money, you shouldn't experience immediate happiness. Brain research shows, however, that people get immediate pleasure and pain from winning and losing money.
Keep Dope alive. Play Poker. Go with the flow. Why do you think they call it DOPE-amine?

"

Dopamine is a swiss army knife that does a lot of jobs, but the thing Mr. Science notices most is that it regulates reward. When you win a hand of poker, it's a dopamine spike that's responsible for the thrill that follows. Drugs, legal and illegal-mimic the actions of dopamine in the brain. Dopamine is a chemical which makes us feel elated; crystal meth is so addictive because it releases dopamine. More than that, The brain images of drug addicts who are about to take another hit are indistinguishable from those of poker players who are making money and about to play another showdown hand.

The Power Of Impossible Thinking

Getting what you deserve is boring. Having pocket AA, and raking a small pot, just won’t do it. There has to be risk and ambiguity. Don’t you feel more energized when you’re uncertain of the outcome of a hand. When you do a three barrel bluff, don’t you feel more alive, your heart jumping out of your chest, you sweat, your take that dry mouth swallow. I think that a subconscious desire to return to this state affects my game. I bluff too much because I want to experience the feeling I get at these moments…. when you get him to fold top pair, when a scare card is on the turn..This is poker at its finest: If you can think impossible thoughts, you can do impossible things.

If you had a normal “addiction” to, say, crack or sex-there are group therapies for that-but being addicted to “risk” in the poker culture just makes makes you a gambler. Is that so bad, you are wired to invest? Don't they call that arbitrage on Wall Street? Isn't gambling a fundamental brick in the foundation of economic and investment thinking.

Poker points to gambling. Gambling points to math. Math points to risk. Risk points to investing. Investing points to finance; and finance points to economics, and economics points back to gambling.

Cognitive-Enhancing SMART drugs and Poker--the Next Steroids Scandal

So all this stuff about Steroids and baseball, what about brain boosting drugs and poker! I wrote about holdem’s off the wall player, me and my Big (Mike the) Mouth. Mike is America's first self confessed bipolar poker champ – a former speed addict, currently diagnosed with attention deficit disorder, Mike The Corporation is a black market wheeler-dealer, living in the underground economy of CASH. His street cred is good in Vegas--the money faucet runs on tap. He's bankable. Why, because he's now (legally)medicated (zoloft, depakote and ritalin)!

It's one thing to get a natural "runner's high" from the game; but actually ingesting brain-boosting performance inhancing substances to improve your mental focus, memory, recall and reduce fatigue? Wait a minute, where can I get some of those happy pills? It's all legal! Doping in cash and online poker, what's so ethical about this work ethic?

We are all aware that caffine is not a drug, but a vitamin for the long grueling tournament scene. Yet, we would all fail a WADA/IOC-administered drug test based on drinking as little as three cups! Congress is already hearing testimony about the Unlawful Internet Gambling Act. I can see a day when the great poker doping scadal is exposed too!

No worries, they'll be a lot of Doctor's notes, with the ADD boutique diagnoisis, just like getting extra time on your SAT! to "accomodate" your poker (L)earning differences.


Drugs, they're not just for athletes!

And now a PSA: If you're gonna get high, play cards-

"There isn't any question about it -- they made me a much better player," Paul Phillips, 35, who credited the attention deficit drug Adderall and the narcolepsy pill Provigil with helping him earn more than $2.3 million as a poker player. See LATimes article

Mike “The Mouth” Matusow from Stuff Magazine; May, 2006 Life or Meth-
" I began playing at a level I had never played at before. Every time someone played a hand differently than their norm, I sensed it. Every time someone showed a tell, I saw it.” see USA Today article
Mike is Mike, working his mac, a whore with a heart of gold, so no judgments here.

Paul on the other hand, is a GUO, a great unlucky one: in order for Mr Phillips to make a small fortune in poker he needed to have a big one---and Paul is a dotcom gazillionaire to begin with. Too much respect for money makes you a bad poker player-That a makes Phillips a great one: He payed 10K x 26 WPT events-Of course eventually he cashed in some---even a broken clock is right twice. What is it about these faloney's who think they can play poker? Ka-ching.

Read my post on The Godfather of Poker-Doyle did "that thing with the thing bada bing-all-in" to Guy aka Moe Greene:

Doyle Brunson took Cirque du Soleil billionaire Guy Laliberté to clown college on High Stakes Poker---to say it was a circus, would be an insult to the bearded ladies, mimes and interpretive dancers. A moment of silence was in order as Guy was nearly drawing dead.

FREE Roger Clemens...


"As Major League Baseball struggles to rid itself of performance-enhancing drugs, people in a range of other fields are reaching for a variety of prescription pills to enhance what counts most in modern life." It begs the question--why is there no stigma attached to these other pursuits.

A Dose Of Genius-No Brain Is An Island

Poker players drug du jour is Adderall , the active ingredient being dextroamphetamine saccharate. You might recognize the root, amphetamine which is closely related to methamphetamine more commonly known as crystal meth, or speed!

Propanolol is a beta blocker, and epinephrine is a beta agonist. LSAT school test takers, concert musicians are eating them like Gummy Bears to bypass stress and butterflies. Why, to get an edge, a competitive edge. If somebody gave you a designer drug to improve your memory, would you try it? What are neuroethical consequences of brain doping?



The Standard American Diet acronym is S.A.D. --This your brain on french fries! Depressing, huh?


AND


This is your brain on poker..




Know Thy Synaptic Self
Neurons that wire together fire together---Making money and then making money again is our chemical romance; the love drug Dopamine. It produces a “desire to continue”. Congratulations, you are wired to play poker. Happy Valentine’s Day.


What happens in your brain when your expectations are confirmed — or shattered by surprise. It's a steady flow of dopamine that makes the anticipation such a pleasure. Walking the painted line, tolerating low calculated risks, the safe choices,---it is impossible to settle for what everyone else gets---no matter how comfortable that would make you. The extraordinary opportunities lie in the leaps of faith, the uncalculating risks.

We might not realize it, but dopamine is our favorite neurotransmitter. The Sex of Poker reward circuit runs on Dopamine. It makes us pursue whatever we think will be rewarding. Life, liberty and the pursuit of a fast buck. "fits like a glove" with neuroimaging findings of alcoholics, and drug addicts. Let's cast a nice halo around poker, call it Yuppie bulemia, for the three C's: guys with Cash, Condos and Cars.






Monday, May 1, 2017

Bad Beats are Overhead;Chips, The Cost of Doing Business As Usual


Are You Experienced?
Probability and People=Poker P+P=P
Limit is about value betting and NLH is about trapping.You spell limit poker t.i.m.e. You can't spell anything in NLH! You gotta do the math---the heavy lifting of pot odds, implied odds, counting your outs.



In No Limit Holdem, things don't even out with time, they even out with the number of hands you play. Sometimes nothing can be a good hand. See my Post on Zero Gravity Thinking.


Holdem is a game of high cards, and kickers, In Limit Holdem, the number of players increases, so big cards must be played most of the time. NLH is like chess; Limit, like checkers: so don't play it like cheese! Find the holes and leaks in your limit game, and plug them up.



Hand selection is very important since almost all the time you are going to a showdown---the one with the best hand usually wins; and bluffing is a rather hard thing to pull off, since it only costs one small bet for Deputy Barney Fife to "keep you honest". Nevertheless,You can bet or raise with ATC, any two cards, but your call MUST have a positive matamatical expectation. Calling for value must outweigh the risks you are taking.


INS and OUTS


For the beginner, everything is even money, when you don't know any better. Replacing that with true odds is the goal. There is one goal and many pathways. There is the psycho path way, playing like a Kramer maniac.---the push and pray NLH way, hoping to hit the flop big. There is the rocky road, playing a tight-is-right, the Jerry game of counting your outs---the number of unseen cards that will give you the best hand---the NUTS!


There is wise and there is otherwise. Generally speaking if the FLOP gives you 10 or more outs---go all the way to the river, regardless of the number of opponents in the pot.

If your draws have less than 9 outs 2 handed, that will yield you a negative result more often than not.

A Multi-handed raised pot with six or more outs =profit.


LET THERE BE FLOP- Getting in touch with your inner George Costanza


If a guy has 20k behind him, and you are first to act and bet 6K. He is really betting 20K if he calls your 6K.(the implied turn and river bets) You bet 6K. he bets 20K That is the threat of NLH, the all-in threat. PUT THE COMMITMENT ON HIM.



The Poker Free Lunch



I can read minds. I know what players are thinking after they miss the flop--"Don't bet" Don't bet" They want a free card. I know both sides because I am both sides.



What is deeply personal in poker is universal. If I am capable of thinking it, so are my opponents. That's feeling the fear and doing it anyway---like The Opposite Episode in Seinfeld. "If I raise everyone will think I have an ACE. So you get 72 and raise with squadush. After all, you don't get a second chance to make a FALSE impression. You may win the pot outright, or take it away on the turn if there hand doesn't improve.


Your attitude will determine your altitude in NLH.


We are born broke, and we die broke, everything in the middle is fluctuation.
"Getting broke" and "Going Broke" are two different things. Getting broke is when you place burns down and you become houseless, you, the franchise can still go out and buy or build another house. Going broke is setting yourself on fire---you are homeless, a lifestyle of disenfranchisement. Have an attitude of gratitude because pokewr is 100% skil and 100% luck



SHIFT Happens

Knowledge isn't power---applied knowledge is. Luck isn't power either, but applied luck is the most powerful element in NLH: here's what I mean; Focus on decisions not consequences. Luck has consequences. Focus on decisions, not luck. What you think of me is none of my business, and what luck thinks of me at any particular time, is none of my business. Luck Positive (Winning) and Luck Negative (gad beats) are OVERHEAD; Chips, the cost of doing business!


Think about good decisions, not results. It's about the process not pots won---the chips will come. Do what you love and the money will follow--have a love affair with making sound decisions based on partial information. It is, after all, about excelling, not winning or losing a particular hand.

It is a poor workman who blames his tools--I don't have a big enough bankroll--A BR is your toolbox. Don't sell your tools. Poker happens in the mind--but it is played with money. I got $1,000 bucks worth of chips and $100,000 worth of courage.



Folding-the invisable way to win.


The best way to win more is to fold more! Hand selection is really something to consider; so is position. Playing too many starting hands is the How Not to Do It way..When it is raised in front of you-Your mantra should be "I'm looking for a way to fold this AJ offsuit.

LOOSE playing---you are looking for reasons to call; TIGHT, to fold---choose your posion.

CHIPS, they comes from weakness: exploit opponent weakness to play ATC, any two cards, who come here to gamble mentality.


CP, calling pattern, BP, betting patterns. Pay attention to these hints. Sit to the LEFT of loose players. When you have a monster let lefty bet out. Players who just sit down are easier to bluff and less likely to play weak hands.

Sunday, April 30, 2017






Holdem is too random to be left up to chance.
You would rather be skillful than lucky anyway--Sure anyone any ONE TIME gets lucky 100% of the time. The law of large numbers says that you will win the lottery. Ask yourself this question before sitting down to play poker: Lucky or skillfull?

"Whether my decision is good or bad depends on how I make it, not on the outcome."
The Secret is about the law of attraction and results—the secret of poker is the complete opposite! And opposites attract!
The way to get better is to think about process not results—focus on better decision making and ignoring short term results.

Analysis Is Paralysis

Poker Bloggers are the sharpshooters that come down from the hill after the battle to shoot the wounded, in this case, the dead. I'll give it my best shot.

There is never a certain prescribed way to play a hand, just a way to think about them. There's the expected result, based on analysis, and the actual result, based on events. For Instance:




David Sklansky's Fundamental Theory of Poker is a theory which is not about poker. Instead it is a theory about the results of poker. In other words, you cannot use the Fundamental Theorem of Poker to solve any actual poker problems. It’s good for finding out whether I was lucky enough or not to be holding any two cards against an opponent. That theory is outlined early in his book:

"Every time you play a hand differently from the way you would have played it if you could see all your opponents' cards, they gain; and every time you play your hand the same way you would have played it if you could see all their cards, they lose. Conversely, every time opponents play their hands differently from the way they would have if they could see all your cards, you gain; and every time they play their hands the same way they would have played if they could see all your cards, you lose." [17-18]
videoPOKER: It is not about winning or losing, rather excelling: Because of the huge amount of luck associated with NLH, We often face uncertainty in making decisions, we can, therefore, make a good decision and get a bad outcome. (Bad beats are had more often by GOOD players than bad. Afterall, you are "getting your money in good"...only to get that suckout miracle card ruin your nut flush to a staight flush etc.) Good decisions in poker, therefore, will not guarantee good outcomes, but on average, consistently better decisions lead to consistently better outcomes.
"Good decisions are made one step at a time." Preflop, flop, turn, river.

Rock.Paper.Scissors. It's not just for kids anymore. Part coin flip, part drawing straws, RPS is not just some novelty way to gamble but a poker strategy to bet:

ROCK=CHIPS. PAPER=Cards. SCISSORS=POSITION.

Rock: wins against scissors, loses to paper and stalemates against itself.
Paper wins against Rock, loses to scissors and stalemates against itself.
Scissors wins against paper, loses to rock and stalemates against itself.

BET, RAISE, or FOLD-

You can't immediately win by calling; you can by betting, or raising! Furthermore, you need a stronger hand to call than to bet or raise. betting or raising allows the possibility of winning the pot immediately by forcing decisions on the other opponents, who may very well fold, with slim holdings....and never cold call a preflop raise with easily dominated off suit hands.

The Equity of Folding in a Tournament-Folding is the invisable way to winThe best way to win more is to fold more! Hand selection is really something to consider; so is position. Playing too many starting hands is the How Not to Do It way..When it is raised in front of you-Your mantra should be "I'm looking for a way to fold this AJ offsuit.

Knowledge isn't power---applied knowledge is. Luck isn't power either, but applied luck is the most powerful element in NLH: here's what I mean; Focus on decisions not consequences. Luck has consequences. Focus on decisions, not luck. What you think of me is none of my business, and what luck thinks of me at any particular time, is none of my business. Luck Positive (Winning) and Luck Negative (gad beats) are OVERHEAD; Chips, the cost of doing business!

Think about good decisions, not results. It's about the process not pots won---the chips will come. Do what you love and the money will follow--have a love affair with making sound decisions based on partial information. It is, after all, about excelling, not winning or losing a particular hand.
Make probability based decisions--How many outs do you have? What are the immediate odds-pre flop, flop, turn and river? What are the long shot odds for you and your opponent, once you put him on a range of hands? The universal tell in poker is called betting!

Poker without cards---bluffing. It simply has to be part of your game--- this Misleading Vividness. But remember: BIG POTS for BIG CARDS: The really powerful starting hands---High card value, suitedness and connectedness---have multiple ways to win.

"Cards are there for bad players" is not always the case. Neither is:" NLH is about playing the person more than the cards"

IN NLH there are 4 opportunities to bluff, 1 pre and 3 post flop.

LOOSE players are looking for reasons to CALL; TIGHT, to FOLD.

The more your bluffs matters, the harder they are to pull off because they are, after all, bluffs. It is, however, impossible to defend against a solid bluffing strategy. Reality is perception, and appearance reality. When you don' have good cards, however, somebody else probably does.


You aren't a bad poker player if you get caught bluffing sometimes or most of the time. You only have to win a fraction of the time to net a profit. Sklansky's (game)Theory of poker points out that you cannot play optimally unless you include bluffing into your game.
Every bet or raise can be a bluff, and you can beat a bluff with a mediocre hand. The only way to compensate for the bluffs of your opponents is to bluff them back!

Thursday, April 27, 2017

FLOUNDERS verses ROUNDERS




FLOUNDERS verses ROUNDERS -The difference in playing with the belief and intention of winning against just being social.
For the poker Balla, nothing is better than when that average Joe Player sits down at a poker table. Why? Because he just sat down with money he INTENDS to lose!
There is no more +EV situation, and most tables in a live poker room are filled with players exactly like that. When you treat No Limit Hold em as only a game of chance instead of skill, it is not a law of probability, it's a fact for games with negative expectations: Risk of ruin is 100%.
JOES verses PROS
Joe plays when he "feels" like it, a Pro, all the time! Call them perpetual shortcuts JOES make when losing poker ASAP; and as any of the PROS will tell you, they don't need cards to win--that's for amateurs. Pro Players specialize in other people's biases! especially that malignant optimistic one that beats its chest and says, "I'm the best player at the table".
Secrets to Beating America's 92 Million Irrational Poker Players:Behavioral Finance-Part ART Part SCIENCE:
Common sense is not so common, and these common flaws are often consistent, predictable, and can be exploited for profit. We are not logical, we are emotional, and motion creates emotion-winning and losing in the stock market or in poker have some suprising failings--Let's reframe them and call them OUTCOMES:
Illusion of control - the tendency for players to believe they can control or at least influence outcomes which they clearly cannot. NLH is 100% luck and 100% chance. An opponent can (suck out) win one hand 100% of the time. NLH is too random to be left up to chance-yet good results will have you rejecting alternative ways to play--Nothing fails like success. Doing things right the first time is an obscenity--If your game isn't broke, don't just break it, break it before the competition does.
Loss aversion - The pain of chips lost generally is much greater than the pleasure of a chips gained. Playars strongly prefer avoiding losses over acquiring gains ( Quit early when winning and playing marathon sessions when stuck or chasing---see also sunk cost effects.
To win money over the long haul, you’ve got to win big pots. And to win big pots, you can’t be held back by this thinking error. You can't play a safe tight- is -right solid game and expect to win. You can't avoid crisis, you must be in a perpetual one that you create...but selectively picking your spots).
Bias blind spot - The left side of the brain will do the math. But the right side will "tag" it with a story. That story usually doesn't compensate for one’s own cognitive biases.
Choice-supportive bias - It's called "anchoring" remember one’s choices as better than they actually were. (Using the past to predict the future). There is never a certain prescribed way to play a hand, just a way to think about them. I've had racks of chips only to be felted 14 hours later because instead of an attitude of gratitude, I had the Mick Jaggar Tumbling Dice "Anything worth doing is worth overdoing"soundtrack playing.
Endowment effect - When I own something, I will tend to value it more highly. If I have to sell it, I will probably want to ask more than it is really worth. (Not being able to let go of QQ,AA,KK---rookie moves, and over betting the pot) There's the expected result, based on analysis, and the actual result, based on events. Poker is a game of situations---I've learned to thrown away Kings, Queens, and with a four card flush on the board, even two red Aces!
Confirmation bias - The Indians Rain Dance worked because they never stopped dancing! The Jeane Dixon effect-of making a few right predictions, and overlooking the false ones. Searching for information in a way that confirms one’s preconceptions. The delusions of reference--tells, lucky charms, hunches and coincidences.
Bandwagon effect - Do things because smart money people do or believe the same, like playing Helmeuth starting hands, or walking the painted line of Sklansky's Theory of Poker or Doyle's Super System. Related to groupthink, herd behaviour. That's what I find so cool about my game--being able to fire three barrels with squadush. (Thank you Poker Stars Sit and Go's)
Déformation professionnelle - the tendency to look at things according to the conventions of one’s own T.O.E., time on earth; assuming things that have similar traits are likely to be identical; forgetting any broader point of view. Past experience and feedback loops can make you Hola Lupe.
Disconfirmation bias -. We tend to use the information that is most handy when we make decisions/predictions. The path of least resistence mashed up with thin slicing.
Focusing effect - prediction bias occurring when players place too much importance on one aspect of an event; causes error in accurately predicting the utility of a future outcome.
Hyperbolic discounting - the tendency for players to have a stronger preference for more immediate payoffs relative to later payoffs, the closer to the present both payoffs are.
Impact bias -Our minds are suited for solving problems related to our survival, rather than being optimised for poker decisions. Players overestimate the length or the intensity of the impact of future feeling states.
Information bias - Seeking TMI, too much information, even when it cannot affect action. Try playing in the dark, or blind---With less information to be processed and filtered, the brain assigns higher priority to the information that it does receive.
Neglect of probability - the tendency to completely disregard probability when making a decision under uncertainty. Expected Value and Variance---weighing all the possible outcomes, weighting the more likely outcomes, and coming to a conclusion---play a big part in the decision process. There is therefore, never a certain prescribed way to play a hand, just a way to think about them.
Mere exposure effect - the tendency for players to express undue liking for things merely because they are familiar with them. If it's not broke, break it!
Omission bias - The tendency to judge harmful actions as worse, or less moral, than equally harmful omissions (inactions).
Outcome bias - the tendency to judge things on their outcome, and not on their process. Over weighing and overeacting to a bad beat-- the most recent information or circumstances.
Planning fallacy - the tendency to underestimate task-completion times. It has taken me ten years to become an overnight Holdem success!
Post-purchase rationalization - the tendency to persuade oneself through rational argument that a purchase was a good value.
Pseudocertainty effect - the tendency to make risk-averse choices if the expected outcome is positive, but make risk-seeking choices to avoid negative outcomes.
Selective perception - the tendency for expectations to affect perception. (Gamblers Fallacy)
Status quo bias - the tendency for players to like things to stay relatively the same.
Von Restorff effect - Purple Cows and items that “stands out like a sore thumb” have a tendency to be more likely to be remembered than other items.
Zero-risk bias - preference for reducing a small risk to zero over a greater reduction in a larger risk.

Wednesday, April 26, 2017

An Americon Dreamer’s guide to the Texas Hold’em Universe. The possibility of sudden significant change in your game.

The Secret is about the law of attraction and results—the secret of poker is the complete opposite! And opposites attract!

The way to get better is to think about process not results—focus on better decision making and ignoring short term results. This is extremely hard to do because neurons that wire together fire together--- that's the sex of poker ---Having fun.
You can fake it till you make it, and than it will break you. There’s a fine line between loving holdem and being greedy for it. The fine line we walk between success and self-destruction---the card lust - Lays Potato Chips--- "I bet you can't eat just one", --- You play too many pots!
When you treat No Limit Holdem as a game of chance instead of skill, it is not a law of probability, it's a fact for games with the "F" fun factor-- you may have great expectations , but you will get negative ones. Risk of ruin is 100%!
Losing holdem ASAP is about that default lottery- Ka-ching- mentality of wish fulfillment.It is a portable magic. you rent but never own. Take it to your game and you will leave through the revolving door of poker on the old gambling world of luck's PUSH, verses the New wor(l)d order of NLH's PULL. It's rolling the DICE verses Inviting CHOICE.

Teach Yourself Poker in 10 Years ---Why is everybody in such a rush!
Learn to play poker like the Pros….and go broke. If you play like Gus (Hansen), you will..
Learn to play poker like the Joes….Hay T-Mobile, calling station----You’re playing Rock Star Poker- U2 without Bono, that’s just karaoke, a cheap imitation. Obsolescence is in full bloom-- Caught in the headlights, this is your brain on money. You can, nevertheless, teach an old dogma new tricks.
It's closing time for the karaoke crowd, the old dogs of kitsch. Who actually cares that you can belt out,after three martini's , the loudest My Way: AK all in pre flop is still a drawing hand! --It's still the S.O.S. Same ole ___ bland copies of the original AKA Doyle's by/buy-the-book, Super System; or Sklansky's Theory Of Poker --Don’t bring math to the game, bring strategy.
NLH is too random to be left up to chance. NLH is senseless, common sense and it’s not so common. It’s crazy delicious! The fixed is replaced by an obsession with the here and now, The Power Of New. It's less about how do I play 3 3 in early position and more about how should I think about it.

Old wine in a new bottle is when you play ABC "I bought the book" holdem. "Money runs counterclockwise...You always lose money from the guy on your left and win chips from the guy on your right" or " Seat 9 only value bets here and only bluffs there." There is no there there! in the distilled experience of the veterans.

The quest is not in these Either/or questions:---Am I gonna win this hand or lose it? Is my hand better or worse than my opponents single hand? Will I play it as a stealing hand or a hitting hand? Either/OR even in terms of thinking Pre/Post flop. .This duality of up and down, playing optimally verses exploitively -- There is no right and wrong, good and bad. odds and even. Zero Sum Minus Some, is too pedestrian, too run-of-the-mill. It's more than mixing it up and shifting gears---the mess is the message.

You can't predict the flop, but you can invent it--Plan around commitment.

It’s hard to think probability. Info is Lost In Translation when we simplify yet the simpliest concepts in NLH are the most powerful. There are no best starting hands, only situations. Things should be made as simple as possible, but not any simpler. Think of it as a continuum, "AND". An infinite number of third options. This concept needs to be in your game.


Doing two things at the same time that apparently negate each other. NLH is 100% skill and 100% luck. The language of "and" is the language of NLH. The language of "and" is the language of passive and active, optimystical and materialistic, hard and soft. There’s a yang for every yin. It’s Fuzzy logic, and everything is a matter of degree and the player is fuzzy wuzzy to the nth degree. Get a clear, sharp view of the fuzzy.

E= MC2 Equity= More Chips Squared.
Equity—think in terms of what is my hypothetical share in this pot, not just “Am I ahead or behind”.
Commitment- Plan around it. Where is your equity coming from: Making the best hand by hitting or stealing it post flop.—to win the pot, but every hand has the potential for both. Most battles are won before they are fought. Consider the range of hands as well as the playah's temperament.
NLH revolves around the threat of an all in bet. It should be considered around ever decision. This may come at you. Play differently in big pots...Isolate hands that have a high showdown value, and overlimp in hands that have a positive and implied odds to invite more people into the pot.

1. The New Americon Dreamers--- This is the story of how Playah's are verbing that noun ---NLH, and dreaming with eyes wide open.
We are all in the right place at the right time. It’s the playah who want to put themselves in the game, who are prepared to be lucky, that get the prize. How do you position yourself to get lucky? Walk into a casino. Become one of the New Americon Dreamers.— An AmeriCAN not an American’t .
Dare to be naïve

If practice makes perfect, and nobody's perfect, then why practice? There is absolutely no substitute in NLH than for a genuine lack of preparation.. A NLH session is one long conversation run by C students, and Cash is their report card. NLH is like high school with money. This is a world beyond the classroom besides getting the correct answer. The important thing, nevertheless, is not to be in the know, but to be in the Power of NEW . The glass ain’t half empty, it ain’t half full, the glass is not big enough. Shuffle up and deal with it.

All uncertainty is holdem’s special invitatiion to enter the mystery of the ever-new---the POWER of NEW.

What everyone knows about poker is not worth knowing. Challenge the Myths of One-Liner NLH Formulas-Think long think wrong. Dump it or pump it. Suited and booted. Tight is right. All in to Win. No set, no bet. Go big or go home. Raise more than call and fold more than raise.

In my last post, I wrote The Power Of Paradoxical Thinking in High Stakes Poker This draws water from that wellspring--
Procrastinate now! Infinite patience does brings immediate results to your game. When was the last time you said "I think I'll go to the casino and fold 80% of my hands!"

In Poker the future is already here. It’s just not yet evenly distributed yet. You see, Poker is really a game of mistakes. The rules of Americon Poker are designed to achieve an important balance: an unskilled player(usually the guy with the three c’s condo, cash and cars) must be able to win just enough hands to keep him at the table losing his money. The Americon just look for opportunities, not guarantees. He is ready to make the right mistakes.

Come sideways at an issue instead of head-Short stacked you can't even pay attention-wo cares "deliberate inattention is required. The only baggage you bring is all that you cannot leave behind.
It's Not the Big that Eat the Small...It's the Fast that Eat the Slow

Don’t ca-cheng unless you ca-ch’i--Physical energy capacity is measured in terms of quantity---low to high; and emotional capacity in quality ---negative to positive.. It’s energy, not time, that's your street cred, your table image.
Managing energy, not time, is the fundamental currency of NLH. You can be motivated to play holdem that's good. You can be inspired to play holdem, that's great. Good, however, is the enemy of great.
Remember what Michael said in Godfather 1, "Keep your friends close and your enemies closer"---Stay motivated, but recognize those moments of inspiration.


Everyone is a genius, it’s just that some of us are too stupid to realize it. It is easy to get de-geniused rapidly with a attitude of " I just want to have fun". Walking into a game because you "feel" lucky is like walking into a sports bar because you "feel" athletic.
Denial just ain’t a river in Vegas. If you want to plug some of the leaks in your game, as Einstein said, "You can't alter a condition with the same mind set that created it in the first place" ---The power of NEW is the power of thinking without thinking, and knowing without knowing.

You don't get a second chance to make a first impression--Logic should yield to instinct. Rebuys are just rearranging the deck chairs of the titanic. The iceberg image, unless you realize something else is keeping the guy afloat who just took all your money , you are destined to become a human hangover, obscene and heard scareaming "I'm king of the world! The Emperor's new t-shirt says" But they were suited"...Check please.
There's a wonderful phrase in Gladwell's Blink--"the power of thin slicing"--which says that as human beings we are capable of making sense of situations based on the thinnest slice of experience. That's what I mean about the difference between having fun and "having an experience"---pure house games like black jack and slots, verses poker. NLH is not just a "sport", it's a concussion. The difference between lightning and a lightning bug.

It might be even easier change our religion than our style of gambling-play . Yet we Americans have put the ODD into God: Laziness has become the religion of the 21st Century gambler. Vene, Vidi, Velcro: "I came, I saw, I stuck around until I ran out of money...When the going gets weird the weird don't turn pro, they join the cult of the amateur. The casino is their water cooler. There's plenty of kool-aid for all to drink. Totemic discussion of the previous hand's bad beat are like sand at the beach--and Life's a bitch. This is poker not confession.

The truth will set you free but first it will piss you off

The secret of staying young is lying about your age---You must bluff to win big in poker. In other words---- Your fake plants will die if you don't pretend to water them---the language of betting is a slang that rolls up its sleeve and spits inthe street and gets the work done:NLH rewards aggression., selective aggression. Pick your spots. Bluffing works best heads up. Turn raises, or bets are scarier to most opponents than flop bets, and here are three: The Stone Cold Bluff---no pair, no draw. The Representing Bluff---betting scare cards, flushes and straights. The Semi-Bluff---drawing to the nuts, flush, straight or overcards.
Bluffing has more to do with an overall strategy than one specific hand. It makes the range of hands you can win with larger. There is a betting-to-bluffing ratio. The percentage that you’re bluffing should be proportional to the amount you’re value betting. For example, if you’re playing pot-limit and you’re betting the pot you should be bluffing about half the time that you’re value betting.

I want to show you my cards…I am a nobody in poker, but you have to be a somebody before you can truly be a nobody. I may not be in “who’s who” but I can tell you what’s what when it comes to Texas Hold em. .

2. The N Word—Normal--- Losing holdem A.S.A.P. is about being Normal.
Money can’t buy happiness, but it can buy chips, which is kinda the same thing.

Money is the most powerful and pervasive secular force on the planet.
Americon don't want to be normal. Normal playah's spend their lives avoiding tense situation, Americon-Poker Playahs spend their lives getting into them. NLH---It takes a minute to learn and a life time to master. It’s hours of utter boredom coupled and then a few moments of sheer terror. Your baseline trance of our everyday All-American life as you know it is over. You’re an Americon-Playah The clock reads “Now” There is no yes in yesterday. Honor your beginning.
Few things are harder to put up with than a good example


It is the ideal aim of the unsuccessful and unimaginative. Ask your mother. "Normal"is the setting on her washing machine---the spin cycle ad nauseum. Normal isn't a virtue. It denotes a lack of poker courage. It’s a vast, conforming suburb of the soul. You don’t want to be normal. Normal people spend their lives avoiding tense situation, Poker Playahs spend their lives getting into them.

The whole upshot of NLH is that it be a perpetual crisis that you create...
3. The harder you work the luckier you get! Quit work, play poker, sleep 'till noon
“L.U.C.K. is the acronym for laboring under correct knowledge, Follow your own inner GPS system. Knowledge won’t t be power, applied knowledge will.”

When you change the way you look at things the things you look at change. Blink!
If you want to be a gambler, you have to play poker. It’s like applying for citizenship in the Gaming World, and no limit Poker is a form of patriotism.



Going for broke is more poetic than calculating the odds. And crunching numbers.


When you play no limit hold em, you feel dangerous. It’s intoxicating. When you say those three words, “I’m all in” its chess plus luck. We really don't have any Poker enemies.It's just that some of our best friends are trying to kill us. Crazy Horse never played Holdem because the meaning of a poker life, is not to-- get one, the meaning is quite simple--don't die. Today, therefore: is a good day for someone else to die. There's a saying: if it doesn't kill you it will make you stronger---but it will kill you. Playing poker like the Joes says, "I am going to live through this even if it kills me."

The Urban Monk Ed Reif's Wise and Otherwise sayings:

When you have the best hand, make your opponent pay.
Rounders verses Flounders: “Do the math Asshole”, you went to NYU, or yea, NYU, Now You're Unemployed". Seat 9 says in his best Tony G.

"Why be difficult when, with a bit of effort, I could be impossible? I think, looking down on American Airlines, Pocket Rockets, Bullets,---Aces, larger than life , greater than the rocky mountain highs. I got 50 outs! I am so glad, I am not in some $3-$6 game, where if I don’t trip up--- hit 3Aces on the flop, no set no bet, I will be hunted down and stalked to the end by some river rat, and get those aces cracked with a baby flush or a low ball straight.

He says in some Franglish accent, “I’m all in”, baiting me, like I’m some fish.

I’m a Poker genius. Poker is situational--You wanna be heads up with AA.These cards will play themselves.. I like living in the now, and this was truly a gift, the “present” moment of my two hole cards---the best starting hand-----I couldn’t get any closer to “seeing” all of my opponents cards. I put him on Ace King, Big Slick ---so what- I have him dominated. QQ,Queens, KK, Kings, JJ’s Jacks, Big Deal. Let’s get it on.

I look down on my stack- Money is a Poker life’s report card and we keep score with it. I got chips! I’m about to graduate. I was feeling too good about this table, how weak they were, to leave, and besides I was winning.

Cool Hand French Fry, , must be thinking” Sometimes nothing is a good hand”. I was almost sure he would get nothing for something---his whole stack would be mine.

Without hesitation, I say, “I call!” and that’s “Mr Asshole to you” I quip “Show some respect”. The table laughs. I push in $400+. Hay I know it sounds like chicken feed, but hay $400 dollars is $400+ U.S. dollars. Oh yea, but these are just chips. It ain’t money until you cash out. Allow me to correct myself,----I push in 400+ chips.

Americon’s are not greedy, Americon’s are not noble. We don’t “need” anything. We just want to win, and you know how dangerous people like we are. Even if you kill us, with a bad beat, we’ll come back from the dead. Just like Jesus. We’re beachcomber Jesus’. We’ll just rebuy, but not with F You Money. . When it's a question of money, everybody is of the same religion, so excuse the Jesus metaphor---- We’re Americon’s—we play to win at all times---that’s why we never lost a war, and don’t give me that Vietnam stuff, that was a “police action,” a conflict, not a war. Poker is war, in disguise as “Fun” and “entertainment”. Americon/s have a real edge over players who want to have “fun”. The object of this war is not to die for your country but to make the other bastard die for his. Thinking like an old soldier … get em scared and then keep the scare on em. --Exponentially scared.And open a can of whoop ass.



It’s the The Lincoln Myth, going from outhouse to white house... log cabin, be a Paul Bunyan of poker, chopping wood, carrying water ---a legendary giant lumberjack of a playah! intertwined with America's entrepreneurial ---Free Agency--- spirit of itself of “anyone can play”. Poker is democratic; everybody on the table is going to win hands. That’s just the way it is. Maybe this is the one. Americon says, “L.U.C.K. is the acronym for laboring under correct knowledge, Follow your own inner GPS system. Knowledge won’t t be power, applied knowledge will.” Even a caveman or an 18 year old viking from Norway---Annette Obrestad---can do it.

I was gambling my car payment on that table, and the insanity of that risk filled me with a kind of awe inspiring rush. The next best thing to playing poker and wining is playing poker and losing. The $400+ bucks on the table is all I got. Until the end of the week. Who cares. I’ ve had AA cracked before. Well, I wouldn’t call it gambling, poker is a game of skill, of making correct decisions. Here are the cliff notes: I win the pot.

The flop is dirty---low ball 472 rainbow, nothing special. Things just got worse for Seat 9 , when I spiked an Ace on the turn for trips. He was drawing dead. Oh yea, he had AK, Big Slick. I had him at Hello.

Instant gratification takes too long.
Inspiration is wonderful when it happens, but you must develop an approach for the rest of the time... The wait is simply too long.
4 The Urban Monk Ed Reif's Wise and Otherwise sayings:
"The ultimate goal is to separate the fish from the sea, leaving it exposed to good play."
A year ago, I was Buddha Boy, in the touchy feely world of high vibrational foods in Las Vegan, slamming shots of wheatgrass and drinking Jamba juice smoothies, and doing yoga , starbucks and meditation--- hybrid cars and oxygen bars. and now I find myself in a quasi Las Vegas haze here at the Commerce casino in Los Angeles---- with Red Bull, Coffee but no neon ---abandoning my early to bed, early to rise---it turned me from wise to otherwise---an alternative lifestyle of all nighters, strip clubs, and hanging out with guys from Newport Beach, Ca’ Witness protection program, truck drivers, smokers drinkers, boozers,gamblers, womanizers, Guys that go on vacation and come back on probation. They weren’t growing up to become president, or even vice president, just Vice. In fact growing up was optional, growing old however wasn’t. Poker players are made from the same mold, but some of them were moldier than others. . Some of these guys looked pretty weathered.

The seductive game of poker is the licence of the brothel combined with the silence of the cloister. It’s not so much a card game as a game that happens to be played with cards, Poker is a game, essentially about psychology, and betting, and betting behavior is at the center of gravity of the game., and coping with probability and uncertainty. Tricks and magic will not work over time. Superior play will.

It is a game about solving imperfect information, partial information.

Poker is a game of partial information.

It is not static like black Jack, with a rock solid never yielding tried and true strategy. You have to switch it up. You are, above all else, playing against other people, and conditions change. You can be lucky on one hand 90% of the time, but over all, this is a game of skill. But there is a luck factor in hold em. Poker equals chess plus luck.

Poker is a game of imperfect in formation where players make inferences and investments under uncertainty. Bluffing a bad player makes you a bad player. Don’t go overboard.

5. The Urban Monk Ed Reif's Wise and Otherwise sayings: In Poker the future is already here. It’s just not yet evenly distributed yet. .
Eventually everybody wins a big pot. A broken clock is right twice--- That’s the seduction. I am a teacher by trade. A meager salary has led most of us to the game. I think poker is not necessarily a lapse of morality, but the result of a great social injustice. Formal education made me a salary, Self-education in the poker world, was making me a small fortune. Yet, the luck factor makes Holdem an equal opportunity offender.


Life is too long to play bad cards. Life is too short to not play poker. What’s the meaning of a poker life? Get one, Perhaps, The meaning of a poker life is don’t die, Right?

If you need money how come you play poker ---Poker Courage---doing it with heart, like Gus
In the United States of Unconscious living, I have finally found a higher life, ---poker. It is courage. It is art. It is skill. It’s like the classic western Showdown, high noon, mono et mono.

Counting chips is like a hooker who looks at her watch
We have on demand, anytime, anywhere poker. In L.A. Most beginner’s play every hand- no foldem holdem. It’s an obscenity pornographic-not so cheap and very nasty. If you are not folding 80% of your hands, there’s a problem. You are having fun instead of making money. The right way to play and almost the right way to play poker is the difference between lightning and a lightning bug. Welcome to the user friendly universe of Americon. It is lightning in a bottle. You can only quit once, so quit playing every frigin hand. This bolt that’s about to come into your life is both striking and alarming, and it will leave the entire landscape changed-as you will find out, irrevocably. Pretty flops become ugly real quick. If you can’t fold AK,(in a limit game) when you flop nada, you’re headed for a bad beat.

6.The Urban Monk Ed Reif's Wise and Otherwise sayings:

Poker is a great second job and a lousy first job.

Luck never gives; it only lends. I knew this, but I was on this winning streak. It was time to move up to the higher limits. What’s
the difference, nothing. It’s the same game, only the chips are different colors. Really. The players aren’t any better. In fact. Some of them are worse.

If you bet on a suited connectors , that's gambling. If you bet you can make 69 “Dinner for 2”, flop, that's entertainment. If you bet AA,KK,QQ will win , that's business.Playing on the button, that’s “My office” because position is so important, and on the button I get the feel for the hole cards others are laying. When I play hold em, with bad players at a 6 12, 4,8 table I am like a good therapist I heal everybody of all their daydreams and delusions. I felt a little bit uncertain though about leveling up.

I just look for opportunities, not guarantees. Helmuth’s starting hands AA,KK,QQ,AK Suited is tight solid. But tight isn't always right.
Good Poker is an acquirement, like music, a foreign language, paralysis. No body is born with it. Poker is never finished only abandoned. Poker is much less important than life, but what a poor life without it.It is like one long game. I got that fling when living in the sun of California for years. It felt like one long day, no seasons, just one long day.

Poker players, the really good ones, and prostitutes have the same thing in common; they are both trying to screw you out of your money and send you home with a smile on your face. The cardroom is the silence of the cloister with the license of the brothel. It provides the loophole for the whore to climb into your head. There is something so wrong about that, Yet it felt so right.

I started out as a chess player Poker players often mistakenly talk about strategy as if it were some kind of chess match. But in chess, you have just two opponents, each with identical resources, and with luck playing a minimal role. Poker is not chess, not checkers, not tiddly winks. Well, maybe it is chess plus luck, yea , that’s what it is Chess plus luck. The real world is much more like a poker game, with multiple players trying to make the best of whatever hand you are dealt them.It’s not what you have. It’s what you do with what you have.

7. Hold em is to stud what chess is to checkers.
After an all- nighter binge of Hold em, a bad beat trip Jacks cracked by a baby flush. I’m pissed and this is just the situation to get mad at: I buy a cup of coffee and they gave me a receipt for the coffee. I don't need a receipt for the coffee I give you money and you give me the coffee end of transaction. “We don't need to bring ink and paper into this.” I can't imagine a scenario that I would have to prove that I bought a coffee . I wouldn’t even act like I didn't buy this coffee I've got the documentation right here... It's going in my file at home. ...Under "C”. Killing all these trees for paper.” I know I’m on tilt, because no “Barista” deserves such treatment.

“Hay, no worries” dude”. He’s very understanding, as he goes back to reading his haiku poetry..
So I’m a dude. Great. I’m still thinking about poker. Clear your head. Get to the gym.Staying health is the slow way to die. Happy 120th birthday. Yea so what. That’s me. I have to exercise in the morning before my brain figures out what I'm doing.
My buns of steel could set off an airport metal detector, but I’d be satisfied with buns of cinnamon. In Las Vegas, Exercise is the yuppie version of bulimia.

8. I payed for my Poker Lessons:

--- Playing too many starting hands: in a standard $4-$8 NL game you should have a 20-30% view of the flop percentage. This means folding AJ in first position, KT in middle position and QT in late position.
--- "Pump it or dump it": fold or bet/raise (if the odds are with you). You should avoid calling unless you have a good reason (like trapping an opponent).
--- Respect most big bets and raises: this is particularly true on the turn and river as most players do not bluff.
---From Zero Hero---Firm hand selection =patience and patience almost equals power. Infinite patience brings immediate results to your game. It's not a matter of can or cannot, it's a matter of will or will not, every hand is a choice, choose wisely.
---Poker Courage--- to bet/raise/call down (aggressive with draws or perceived best hands) It’s always your next move raise or fold! Foldophobic. “Good poker is patience; great poker is courageNot vulnerable to go on tilt. If you are going to walk on thin ice, you might as well dance! You can’t control what goes on the outside, only the inside, and the guy that gets you angry conquers you. No Snowflake ever felt responsible for an avalanche.
---Good table selection (very important in all poker games)Discipline (the ability to wait for a good hand and not chase.).
9. Send the Bread to Fred---

American gambling is a kind of a great sort of dipstick to where our culture is or isn’t.And Poker not baseball has replaced the national pastime. Dream---to become the Dian Fossey of the poker jungle. to become one of “them”, and then study “their” behavior from the inside. These McMonkey’s, Vinnie Bag-a-donuts, Joe Six Pack. John Q And bust them. Anyway. My Second Coming: When Bad things happen to good cards--getting sucked out on--when weak players make good mistakes, and call your KK with pocket 99, the german Virgin" Nein,Nein!" and hit trips on the flop to bust you---
Hate the win, not the winner---

because he will eventually give you back all his chips +yours! Exploit their affliction, the “house money effect” of "I'm playing with their money" He becomes his own personified tipping point, where his small mistakes actually effect his own game until he calls when he should fold, or he gets out drawn and becomes his own critical mass, and busts out.

Winning by playing badly is a way of turning money into problems. ---Don't make the "Wrong" mistake. by playing badly, but don't forget to always make mistakes-If you are not prepared to be wrong, you will never come up with anything original.

The law of large numbers says---With a large enough sample, any outrageous thing is likely to happen. And odd coincidences are likely to happen. The one chance in a million will undoubtely occur. The Naked aggression player is free balling, going commando, ----with a no limit dyslexia, the inability to read the writing on the wall. Once again, Poker rewards selective aggression.

In the United States of Unconscious Poker Playing, I wanted to be different and think in poker”, using my head to complete the puzzle of incomplete information, but also my somatic body to "feel" the cards. Always make new mistakes because you are not your mistakes. Doing things right the first time is an obsenity. It's not about learning but unlearningf rom them. It's subtraction, not addition.

There is a sophisticated class of professional Poker players with an interesting philosophy which is closely related to a deep understanding of basic probability. The rules of Poker are designed to achieve an important balance: an unskilled player must be able to win just enough hands to keep him at the table losing his money.
10. Troubleshooting? Every time I do that trouble comes shooting back at me.

Limit is a science, you shoot at the target, no limit is an art, it shoots back at you. The cardinal sin in poker, worse than playing the cards, worse even than figuring your odds correctly, is becoming emotionally involved.

You have to have your bad beats---Nobody is stronger; nobody is weaker than someone who came back. There is nothing you can throw at such a person because whatever you could do is less than what has already been done to him Yet, it's hard to make a comeback when you haven't been anywhere. I may not be in “who’s who” but I can tell you what’s what when it comes to Texas Hold em. The Urban Monk’s bad beat Flops a full house beaten by a high one.Ace high flush beaten by a nut straight flush, four of a kind deuces never loses, beaten by four of a kind 5’s! It’s not a user friendly flop, a user illusionary, because

Bad players can get lucky 100% of the time on one hand...
but it is an illusion, because they will always have worse cards then you, and will draw out, even if there is one card in the deck they need, and get it. For these types of absolute novice, everything is even money. The idea is to defeat that concept, making, for instance, balanced decisions---correlating the size of the pot to the strength of your hand.

There is considerable risk involved in not betting when one has the best hand. Slow play is no play.

We are always telling ourselves it’s going to rain, well ask Seminole Indian Chief Billy Cyprus (The Everglade is our mother"-yet he manages to build the mother of all casinos on it!) why the rain dance works—he’ll tell you I never stop dancing!
Some flashbacks--- from "F"-LA, where I took up "Second-hand" smoking at the Hard Rock Cafe...
Fat-It's not just for chicks anymore--I like playing against fat guys---They're such good losers. and dude. you are so not pregnant!
Seat one’s Aqua Velva Stench was getting to me. He had just beat me with 7 2 bluff and showed it, like licking the toilet seat at a Yankee Stadium restroom, I hate when these jerkaholics play garbage, and bust you with a premium hand like AJ suited.

I have two things on my wish list right now, hosting an episode of the O”reilly Factor naked, so the FCC can fine that windbag, and winning this hand.

Sick and tired of your one horse town poker game, big fish in small pond is swimming in the river…Queer Eyes for the straight flush…. Chasing straights and flushes go home on dirty greyhound buses. This guy was a chick magnet---300 pounds of fun, unemployed and graduate of the local community college. But played like a rock star,, a solid player. How could I budge him, all this inertia, I could set him off. I had to find his weakness and explot it with some table talk.

The flop comes 6 8 10 rainbow. Seat three has pocket sixes. Kiss your soul goodbye and say hello to your new best friend, Satan. The Devil’s hand. If you are an atheists, you don’t have anyone to thank when things go right---So I hear quite often,” thank be to the Poker gods”.

Speak Spanish, this is Los Angeles! Where you from I ask him, he say’s right here.. I say, I hate L.A.. if you need a fake ID -or an Abortion. Whore, then go east young man, east Harlem, east LA, East Norwick. the newest and hottest foot soldier on the front lines of the average Joe, Vinnie Bag-a-donuts, Joe Six Pack takeover of modern culture, turning us into a kind of crack addicted McMonkey. crack addiction in Larry Flint’s Gardena Hustler casino, and the Bike in Bell, and the mother of all poker rooms, the Commerce Casino in Commerce CA. I t's hard to make a comeback when you haven't been anywhere. I felt the need for speed, the Las Vegas trip I had never taken seriously.

Collateral damage of Poker. The guy from the trailer park, with the “Look at my Striped shirt” on, who wins a stack a chips. Acts like an opiate, distracts you from real issues like “Do you rent or own?”, Car Payments, credit card debt and the like

There was something so absolutely dirty about it all. I was nostalgic in my head-, bringing me back to a place I had never been before, the rat pack,listening to Sinatra’s New York New York or Luck Me A Lady Tonight, smoking cigarettes, drinking scotch, pinching waitresses asses and tip her a stick ($100) in her cleavage. , Calling all women dames. Or better yet banging hookers. Misogyny on tap. You know, old school, before the days of sexual harassment lawsuits and stuff like that. No judgment. A Man’s world. In the poker game of life women are the rake. Right or wrong, I had come to realize that, life is wasted on the living. I could face a crisis, it’s the day-to-day living that was killing me. . Setting too good an example was a kind of obscenity, not the neon, not the poker. I felt good about what I was doing.

People come to the casino for two reasons, to get away from or to move towards something. I still couldn’t figure out which one it was.

Yet, it was like I had my ipod, two radio stations and a pornographic movie going on at the same time. But I couldn’t stop, because I was winning. Every day. I knew I was winning because I came to the table to make money, not have fun. Having fun is playing King 4 suited; having fun is playing all your blinds no matter what two cards you hold. Having fun is staying in with AK, when the flop, 70% of your hand , come nothing and you go to the river. If I see an unhappy face at the table, scratching at the table, his bad beat story, I know for a fact, will start with these words, “But they were suited”. I want to get a T shirt, that sells that. Only people who play poker for fun would get it! (understand it). Getting nothing for something, that’s playing with “their” money, playing for fun. If you want to have fun, have sex, jump out of an airplane. Poker is hard work.

Nobody is always a winner, so I had to make a decision, play again or take a break. Pretty hands turn into pretty ugly hands but Poker is mostly not about cards, it’s about people. Out To launch-Fat America-The Weigh We Were. The four types of poker players I met.at Commerce Casino. In full-ring games (8-10 players)....

Shit-We're Toast--- A Toast to the Real Men of Genius

Calling Station. It was as if this clown prince of poker was wearing a t-shirt that said “Take My Money”, because after he lost a big pot he said the magic words that get many nebies in trouble, “But they were suited”. That should be the equivalent of “Take MY Money”. I’m gonna open a t- shirt shop and print that one up----But They Were Suited”.


Playing well is a happy accident. Follow the Poker plaha Guide and you will become accident prone.I gave up drinking but somehow it’s the same feeling- You go out for a night of drinking and you don't know where your going to end up the next dayYou could be a hero or a zero. Drinking and drugs are a bet with your mind! So is poker. I need a break. I’m going to the gym for a workout. Rule Number ##: Never Play
poker when you are tired. Can’t talk yourself out of problems you behaved yourself into....

There’s nothing ethical about the “work ethic” .In my w2 world, I named my own salary. I called him Fred, and Mr Flintstone was having an out of money experience. If it wasn’t for the hockey strike, I would have never heard of ESPN’s WSOP. They kept looping the same content over and over again. . I figured I could do this.---gamble I mean. I’m the classic angel devil, hedonist and puritan all wrapped up in one. I don’t drink or do drugs. Steak is my favorite animal and I don’t eat any. Putting my money down without looking at my cards, like black Jack or a house game, So pre 9-11, like buying airline tickets from a travel agent. Too stone age, too Rat Pack Frank Sinatra.

Pabst Blue Robot PUI, Playing Under The Influence Jack Shit? Yes, you know him. He’s in seat 9.He seeks the light, so long as it tastes great and is not too filling.

My question is simply this: Are you menstruating? Because the rush of estrogen is surging The more it stays the same, the less it changes I am allergic to civilization. It makes me wake up with headaches. I need play this hand with all these zombies.
Just when Jack's his ant farm started showing a profit, I foreclosed on it. He doesn’t live in fantasy. He only toils there. Work is the curse of the drinking classes and Jack is a workaholic. Every time you force him to a decision it’s like mentioning the word work and he wants to get drunk. Jack is Dead Money, Bulletproof., but a human hangover. He wanted to leave a mark on the table; he’d be lucky to leave a stain. You are simply going to rip off his testicles and slash his tires turning his wild oats into shredded wheat. Moral of the story---Don’t drink and drive at the same time.

The cards, are after all, just there to confuse bad play. Perspective is the key to perceiving order. Crisis is not merely a mindless jiggling, it’s a subtle form of order. That’s the name of the game; and when you’re winning the game, nobody says “It’s only a game!”--- Up To NEW Good